Promise tracker
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Promise tracker
What robotics companies said would happen by a date, and what did. Each promise links to the company’s own words; each outcome links to a source.
- More than 3,000 robotaxis by the end of 2026.
Pony.ai · Said 5 Jan 2026: “by year-end”
Open
- Robotaxis on the Uber app in Las Vegas in 2026.
Zoox · Said 11 Mar 2026: “later this year”
Open
- More than 200 driverless trucks in operation at the end of 2026.
Aurora Innovation · Said 11 Feb 2026: “exiting the year”
Open
- Atlas deployed at Hyundai and Google DeepMind in 2026.
Boston Dynamics · Said 5 Jan 2026: “2026”
Open
- Start Optimus production before the end of 2026.
Tesla · Said 28 Jan 2026: “before the end of 2026”
Open
- Riders in Washington, DC on the Waymo One app in 2026.
Waymo · Said 25 Mar 2025: “in 2026”
Open
- One million rides a week by the end of 2026.
Waymo · Said 10 Dec 2025: “by the end of 2026”
Open
- Robotaxi rides in London in 2026.
Waymo · Said 15 Oct 2025: “in 2026”
Open
- Early riders (Zoox Explorers) in Austin and Miami in 2026.
Zoox · Said 23 Mar 2026: “later this year”
Open
- First NEO robots ship to homes in 2026.
1X Technologies · Said 28 Oct 2025: “in 2026”
Open
- Driverless long-haul trucking in the second half of 2026.
Kodiak AI · Said 12 Nov 2025: “in the second half of 2026”
Open
- Rider-only robotaxi rides in Las Vegas in 2026.
Motional · Said 13 Mar 2026: “later this year”
Open
- More Atlas customers in early 2027.
Boston Dynamics · Said 5 Jan 2026: “early 2027”
Open
- Early access to Digit 5 starts in the first half of 2027.
Agility Robotics · Said 15 Sept 2026: “in the first half of 2027”
Open
- All 100 trucks of Atlas Energy's first order running the Kodiak Driver by mid-2027.
Kodiak AI · Said 7 Aug 2026: “into the first half of 2027”
Open
- Digit 5 generally available by the end of 2027.
Agility Robotics · Said 15 Sept 2026: “by the end of 2027”
Open
- Capacity to build 10,000 humanoid robots a year by 2027.
UBTech Robotics · Said 17 Nov 2025: “by 2027”
Open
- Robotaxis on the Uber app in Los Angeles in 2027.
Zoox · Said 11 Mar 2026: “next year”
Open
- NEO sold outside the US starting in 2027.
1X Technologies · Said 28 Oct 2025: “starting in 2027”
Open
- Capacity to build more than 100,000 NEO robots a year by the end of 2027.
1X Technologies · Said 30 Apr 2026: “by the end of 2027”
Open
- Robotaxis in 12 more cities by 2030.
WeRide · Said 6 Feb 2026: “by 2030”
Open
- 20 to 25 second-generation driverless trucks by the end of Q3 2026.
Aurora Innovation · Said 29 Jul 2026: “by the end of the third quarter”
Open
- Start alpha tests of its humanoid in homes in 2025.
Figure AI · Said 27 Feb 2025: “this year”
No proof
- 1,000 sixth-generation Apollo Go robotaxis in Wuhan in 2024.
Baidu Apollo Go · Said 17 May 2024: “By 2024”
No proof
- Drone delivery from Walmart Supercenters in Atlanta, Charlotte, Houston, Orlando and Tampa within a year (100 more stores).
Wing · Said 5 Jun 2025: “By this time next year”
No proof
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Sign in freeHow it works: a promise is in only when the company said it on the record, with a date. “No proof” means no public source shows it happened; it is not the same as “Not done”. Something wrong? Send a correction with a source.